Friday, December 19, 2008

Bush does something I approve!

Bush did something I approved of. Regardless of whether GM and Chrysler "deserve" to be helped, this would be a terrible time to let them collapse. Better our tax money go to people who are doing real jobs, and not to bonuses for the financial executives who made what would have been an inevitable economic downturn much worse. I say inevitable because of the stagnation or actual declining of wages (allowing for inflation) and the high levels of debt.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28300781/

Bailout offers brief reprieve for automakers
Package demands tough concessions from union; prospects uncertain
By Roland Jones
msnbc.com
updated 5:50 p.m. ET, Fri., Dec. 19, 2008

U.S. automakers got a $17.4 billion lifeline from the Bush administration Friday, but now comes the hard part: Winning tough concessions from their unions and turning around their ailing businesses.

Declaring that he was unwilling to allow the auto industry to collapse, Bush announced a plan to loan $9.4 billion to General Motors and $4 billion to Chrysler this month. An additional $4 billion would be made available to the industry in February, after President-elect Obama has taken office.

Ford Motor, the other major U.S. automaker, has said it does not need funding in the immediate future.

The terms of the loans to GM and Chrysler require the carmakers and their unions to make significant concessions. (The term sheets have been posted at the Treasury's Web site.)

New World Post-pandemic Reforestation Helped Start Little Ice Age, Say Scientists

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081218094551.htm

ScienceDaily (Dec. 19, 2008) — The power of viruses is well documented in human history. Swarms of little viral Davids have repeatedly laid low the great Goliaths of human civilization, most famously in the devastating pandemics that swept the New World during European conquest and settlement.

In recent years, there has been growing evidence for the hypothesis that the effect of the pandemics in the Americas wasn't confined to killing indigenous peoples. Global climate appears to have been altered as well.

Stanford University researchers have conducted a comprehensive analysis of data detailing the amount of charcoal contained in soils and lake sediments at the sites of both pre-Columbian population centers in the Americas and in sparsely populated surrounding regions. They concluded that reforestation of agricultural lands—abandoned as the population collapsed—pulled so much carbon out of the atmosphere that it helped trigger a period of global cooling, at its most intense from approximately 1500 to 1750, known as the Little Ice Age.
...
Nevle and Bird don't attribute all of the cooling during the Little Ice Age to reforestation in the Americas.

"There are other causes at play," Nevle said. "But reforestation is certainly a first-order contributor."

Another case of innocence finally proved

http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2008/dec/18/rachel-nickell-colin-stagg


Rachel Nickell killing: Met apology a long time coming, says innocent Stagg
Man who was charged and cleared over killing says he has forgiven case detectives but not profiler who accused him
* Sandra Laville, crime correspondent
* guardian.co.uk, Thursday 18 December 2008 13.34 GMT

Colin Stagg today received the apology from the Metropolitan police that he has waited 16 years to hear.

"It has been a long time coming," the 45-year-old said. "It would have been nicer if the Met could have looked me in the eye while they did it, but I'll take what's on offer."

A letter signed by the Met's assistant commissioner, John Yates, was hand delivered this morning to Stagg's solicitors's office. It said the police would like to make it a matter of public record that Stagg had nothing to do with the murder. "I must offer you an unreserved apology for the proceedings instigated against you in 1994. I acknowledge the huge and most regrettable effect this has had on your life for the past 16 years," Yates wrote.
...
Stagg said he had forgiven the detectives who implicated him in the murder of Rachel Nickell, and reserved his bitterness for the senior officers and prosecution team who allowed the case to go ahead against him with no evidence. His anger is directed in particular at Paul Britton, the forensic profiler who in 1992 was hailed as the man with the key to unlock tough murder investigations. From Britton he has had no apology.
...
Stagg was held in prison for 13 months on remand. For four of those months, Robert Napper was held on remand in prison for the murder of Samantha Bissett and her daughter, Jazmine, 12 miles away from Wimbledon Common.

Police sources said officers saw the similarities between the two murders – both were random, motiveless knife attacks on blond women with children present. But the senior officer in the Nickell inquiry decided to let the legal process go ahead despite the questions the Bissett killing had raised.
...
Stagg left the court a free man but in the 14 years since he continued to be viewed as a man who got away with murder. In August this year, Lord Brennan awarded Stagg £706,000 in compensation for his ordeal. Brennan said the police operation had involved manipulation and deception of a highly reprehensible kind.

values

Wealth, in even the most improbable cases, manages to convey the aspect of intelligence.
-John Kenneth Galbraith

The price of tomato products

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/256/story/57980.html

Posted on Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Food broker accuses California company of racketeering
By Denny Walsh | Sacramento Bee

Randall Lee Rahal, a New Jersey sales broker, leveled a startling allegation with a guilty plea in Sacramento federal court Tuesday, telling the judge that SK Foods L.P., one of the nation's largest processors of tomato-based products, has been run as a "racketeering enterprise" since 2004.

Rahal admitted that he used SK money to bribe purchasing managers whose list of employers reads like a who's who of food industry giants. In return, he related, the managers bought SK products at inflated prices and supplied SK with competitors' bidding and proprietary information.

He also admitted conspiring with SK to defraud some of its customers by supplying inferior and mislabeled products.

The charges against Rahal are the first to emerge from a nationwide probe of food pricing by federal prosecutors, FBI and IRS agents, and antitrust investigators. The inquiry was sparked by reports of collusion among farmers, processors and retailers that may be helping drive the price of groceries to all-time highs.

Read the complete story at sacbee.com
http://www.sacbee.com/topstories/story/1479305.html

Rahal, a former member of SK's board of directors, said Tuesday his dirty dealings were carried out with the knowledge, encouragement "and in some instances at the direction of" the company.

The company was founded and is run by Scott Salyer, 52, a member of a legendary farming family, whose grandfather came to California with nothing in the early part of the last century and built an agriculture empire, becoming one of the biggest land barons in the Central Valley.

Money attracts

from a comment on
http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2008/12/paul-krugman-th.html?cid=143120254#comment-143120254
S Brennan says...

Money attracts the best and the brightest.

Sometimes, sometimes not...

Money attracts the criminal element.

Always true.

Money attracts the sociopaths of the world.

Almost always true. Because of what our society attaches to money, it gives sociopaths all of what they seek.

The elaborate justifications for this high pay have been many. Almost all have been shown in time to be completely false.

Quoting from a book that is lost to me.

"Any businessman will tell you, if your choice is between being a producer of goods and a middle man who takes a percentage, the sure bet is with the percentage. No start-up costs, no production cost, the lowest overhead in the chain to market, your labor is largely unskilled and what skills you need are plentiful"

Q] So why are those who do the least for given society, take the lowest risk, take home the highest pay?

A] Because they have been able through their agents in the media, to convince enough people that they contribute more to society than any other group...and the more they are given, the more they can perpetrate this myth.

A fair tax system addresses unforeseen imbalances that profit those who through whatever means are in the right place at the right time with the right amount of capitol.

Factoid for those who sore elbows patting themselves on the back:

If Bill Gates had been born 20 years earlier...or later, no one would have heard of his name. He came from one of Seattle's wealthiest families and he was able to capitalize on an singular event. Few college dropouts had 100,000 to throw around back then, fewer still had access to large amounts of capitol at the age of 20. Consider, Microsoft [outside of a (previously used) silencing agreement] has never come up wit a single innovation.
December 19, 2008 at 11:05 AM

Earth not center of the universe - NOT a surprise

http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-12/uobc-enc121808.php

Even if our solar system turned out to be in a region of space that was not representative of the universe as a whole, it would not indicate that we are "special". If there were millions of large voids, and our galaxy was the only galaxy in any of them, then we would have reason to wonder if we are "special". If millions of people buy tickets in a lottery, someone will win. That doesn't indicate that person is "special". Humans try to hard to "prove" that we are "special"; it's just more of our silliness.

Public release date: 19-Dec-2008
Contact: Jim Zibin
zibin@phas.ubc.ca
604-263-8246
University of British Columbia

Earth not center of the universe, surrounded by 'dark energy': UBC cosmologists

Earth's location in the Universe is utterly unremarkable, despite recent theories that propose toppling a foundation of modern cosmology, according to a team of University of British Columbia researchers.

Polish astronomer Nicolaus Copernicus's 1543 book, On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres, moved Earth from being the centre of the Universe to just another planet orbiting the Sun. Since then, astronomers have extended the idea and formed the Copernican Principle, which says that our place in the Universe as a whole is completely ordinary. Although the Copernican Principle has become a pillar of modern cosmology, finding conclusive evidence that our neighbourhood of the Universe really isn't special has proven difficult.

In 1998, studies of distant explosions called "type Ia supernovae" indicated that the expansion of the Universe is accelerating, an observation attributed to the repulsive force of a mysterious "dark energy." However, some scientists put forward an alternate theory: They proposed that the Earth was near the centre of a giant "bubble," or "void," mostly empty of matter, and strongly violating the Copernican Principle. If this were the case, gravity would create the illusion of acceleration, mimicking the effect of dark energy on the supernova observations.

Now some advanced analysis and modeling performed by UBC post-doctoral fellows Jim Zibin and Adam Moss and Astronomy Prof. Douglas Scott is showing that this alternate "void theory" just doesn't add up. Their findings are published today in the journal Physical Review Letters.

Thursday, December 18, 2008

More of the same Bush shenanigans

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/257/story/57881.html

Probe finds politics drove endangered species decisions
By Michael Doyle | McClatchy Newspapers

WASHINGTON — Politics corroded Bush administration decisions on protecting endangered species nationwide, federal investigators have concluded in a sweeping new report.

Former Interior Department official Julie MacDonald frequently bullied career scientists to reduce species protections, the Interior Department investigators found. Species from the California tiger salamander to plants and crustaceans found in vernal pools were rendered potentially more vulnerable as a result, environmentalists believe.

Frustrated scientists went so far as to consider artificially inflating the California vernal pool critical habitat by 20 percent to offset MacDonald's anticipated cuts, investigators noted.

"The results of this investigation paint a picture of something akin to a secret society residing within the Interior Department that was colluding to undermine the protection of endangered wildlife and covering for one another's misdeeds," Rep. Nick Rahall, D-W.Va., declared Monday.

Inequality

http://www.bigthink.com/business-economics/1765

Bright students, as measured by tests in 8th grade, from poor families are less likely to get thru college than not very bright, bottom quartile, students from high-income families.

Christmas thoughts, from Ghandi

I believe I saw the movie "Ghandi" three times at a movie theater, at least twice on TV. If I ever get around to getting a video player, it is the first video I'll get. Watching it leaves me feel filled up with goodness.

http://www.archive.org/stream/essentialgandhi000071mbp/essentialgandhi000071mbp_djvu.txt

"I do not seek redemption from the consequences of my sin. I seek to be redeemed from sin itself, or rather from the very thought of sin. Until I have attained that end, I shall be content to be restless." (Gandhi’s response after a presentation of the Christian Gospel),

http://www.mkgandhi.org/gquots1.htm

"I will give you a talisman. Whenever you are in doubt, or when the self becomes too much with you, apply the following test. Recall the face of the poorest and the weakest man [woman] whom you may have seen, and ask yourself, if the step you contemplate is going to be of any use to him [her]. Will he [she] gain anything by it? Will it restore him [her] to a control over his [her] own life and destiny? In other words, will it lead to swaraj [freedom] for the hungry and spiritually starving millions?
Then you will find your doubts and your self melt away."

- One of the last notes left behind by Gandhi in 1948, expressing his deepest social thought.

Madoff

What I wonder is where did it all go?
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aqTeL0R2a_R4

By Josh Fineman and Saijel Kishan

Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Clients of Bernard Madoff, the money manager charged with fraud, are still trying to calculate their losses, and Bloomberg’s latest tally of disclosures and news reports shows investors had about $35 billion with his firm.

In some cases, individual investor and bank losses may also be included in the total of reports from funds. Before his arrest last week, Madoff, 70, confessed to employees that his “giant Ponzi scheme” may have cost clients as much as $50 billion, according to an FBI complaint.

Chuckle for the Day

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=ahpPBA8vqN2o&refer=news

Fed Loans Guided by Raters Grading Subprime Debt AAA
By Alison Fitzgerald

Dec. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is basing hundreds of billions in emergency lending on credit ratings from companies that gave AAA grades to toxic securities.

The Fed has purchased $308.5 billion in commercial paper and lent $631.8 billion under eight credit programs, most of which require appraisals of short-term debt and loan collateral by “major nationally recognized statistical ratings organizations.” That, in effect, means Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings.

It is foolhardy to rely on the three New York-based companies, said Keith Allman, chief executive officer of Enstruct Corp., which trains investors in financial modeling and asset valuation. The major raters issued top marks to $3.2 trillion in subprime mortgage-backed securities at the root of the financial crisis.

“They’re outsourcing the credit assessment to a group of people whose recent performance has been unbelievably bad,” said Allman, the New York-based author of three books on structured finance and a former vice president in Citigroup Inc.’s securitized markets unit. “If their goal is to not take a loss on these assets, they should be hiring independent analysts.”

Rating companies are hired by debt issuers to analyze the quality of securities and the likelihood the borrowings will be repaid. Lenders demand higher interest when a rating is low. If the Fed is relying on unrealistic valuations, it may be charging too little and taking on greater risk than it intends, said Donald van Deventer, CEO of Honolulu-based Kamakura Corp., which provides financial software and consulting.

Murder?

Some say that an embryo acquires a soul at the moment of fertilization. In the case of a "fetus in fetu", does the partially formed thing have a soul? If not, what happened to it? Is it murder to remove it? It would be under a law that defined a fertilized egg as a human being. Also for tubal pregnancies.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081218/ap_on_re_us/foot_in_brain;_ylt=AvIX9DEh071innzXRbjD_ums0NUE

Tumor in Colorado newborn's brain contained foot
Thu Dec 18, 5:24 am ET
COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. – A pediatric neurosurgeon says a tumor he removed from the brain of a Colorado Springs infant contained a tiny foot and other partially formed body parts.

Dr. Paul Grabb said he operated on Sam Esquibel at Memorial Hospital for Children after an MRI showed a microscopic tumor on the newborn's brain. Sam was 3 days old and otherwise healthy.

Grabb said that while removing the growth, he discovered it contained a nearly perfect foot and the formation of another foot, a hand and a thigh.
...
The growth may also have been a case of "fetus in fetu" — in which a fetal twin begins to form within another

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Raping the land

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/v-print/story/57349.html

Posted on Tue, Dec. 09, 2008
Commentary: Add poor land stewardship to list of Bush sins
C.W. Gusewelle | The Kansas City Star

last updated: December 09, 2008 07:57:27 AM

One thought occurred immediately when I read about the recent White House approval of a rule to give coal companies greater freedom to shove the tons of rubble from shattered mountaintops into the streams and valleys below.

It was this: President Bush and his administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency ought to be obliged to go to eastern Kentucky and spend time — a good amount of time — in the hamlet called Lookout in a sad little ravine known as Poor Bottom Hollow.

Maybe they would better understand, then, what unspeakable ruin they have just signed off on.

It’s possible — just possible — they might even care.

I write from firsthand experience, because many years ago — in January of 1972 to be exact — I did spend a month in Lookout, living with a disabled coal miner and his wife.

Big corporate underground mines once had been the principal industry of the region. In the 1930s, more than 1,000 men a day went under the mountain at the mine near Lookout.

But in the 1950s, for economic reasons, major workings like that one shut down, the corporations pulled out and the economy of the region effectively collapsed.

Left was an army of the unemployed — many with health broken from breathing mine dust — living on disability checks and welfare, making homes with their kin in the small cottages of what formerly had been company coal camps.

Successors to the big mines were what the locals spoke of as "dog holes" — smaller, worked by only a few men, often of the same family.

I spent time underground in one of those, the little Bartley mine, up the nearby hollow of Lick Branch. I watched them "shooting it from the solid," as miners say — blowing coal from the face of the seam with charges of dynamite, then hauling it to the surface to be trucked and sold.

On a good day, the Bartleys and their co-workers — nine men in all — could load out 200 tons.

By comparison, on that same day a strip mine employing just four men and ripping the top off a mountain with bulldozers and power shovels could send 2,000 tons to the railhead.

Little wonder where the jobs had gone.

One bitter winter afternoon, I rode in his pickup truck with the youngest Bartley, Estil, up a steep and icy track to a promontory that commanded a grand view of that Appalachian landscape.

"Lookit there," he said, braking his truck on the lip of a dizzying ravine and pointing. "They’re tearing that mountain all to pieces!"

It was not a mountain any longer. It was a mesa, with its top and upper third removed. The machinery that had done the work could not be seen at such a distance. Only the results.

And down the side had come the mud — a flow of sterile muck so large that the gullies eroded in it carried foul streams of a size almost to deserve naming — down 1,000 feet or more to the bed of what young Bartley said had been Sycamore Creek. By then, it had vanished under the slide, emerging from the lower side as a snaking, ocher ribbon.

And having by then been transformed from water into some other, nastier substance, it oozed on to mingle eventually with the ruins of other mountainsides in torpid suspension.

Bartley whistled softly to himself, then released the brake, turned and let his truck roll on back down.

That is the sort of violence that already was being done three decades ago to that sector of our eastern mountains, a region of this country whose most singular resource even then was its beauty.

And it is what the Bush administration, in the twilight of its misrule, has decided to promote by further gutting the weak rules that have inadequately governed the disposal of surface-mining waste.

Bipartisan Panel blames Bush officials for detainee abuse

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28180540/

updated 6:31 p.m. ET, Thurs., Dec. 11, 2008

WASHINGTON - The physical and mental abuse of detainees in Iraq, Afghanistan and Guantanamo Bay Naval Base was the direct result of Bush administration policies and should not be dismissed as the bad work of guards and interrogators, a Senate report concludes.

The Armed Services Committee report concludes that harsh interrogation techniques used by the CIA and the U.S. military were directly adapted from the training techniques used to prepare special forces personnel to resist interrogation by enemies that torture and abuse prisoners. The techniques included forced nudity, painful stress positions, sleep deprivation, and until 2003, waterboarding, a form of simulated drowning.

The report is the result of a nearly two-year investigation that directly links President George W. Bush's policies after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, legal memos on torture, and interrogation rule changes with the abuse photographed at Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq four years ago. Much of the report remains classified. Unclassified portions of the report were released by the committee Thursday.

Administration officials publicly blamed the abuses on low-level soldiers — an assertion the report called "both unconscionable and false."

"The abuse of detainees in U.S. custody cannot simply be attributed to the actions of 'a few bad apples' acting on their own," the panel concluded. "The fact is that senior officials in the United States government solicited information on how to use aggressive techniques, redefined the law to create the appearance of their legality, and authorized their use against detainees."

"The message from top officials was clear; it was acceptable to use degrading and abusive techniques against detainees," said Committee Chairman Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich.

Arizona Republican and former prisoner of war Sen. John McCain said the link between the survival training and U.S. interrogations of detainees was inexcusable.

"These policies are wrong and must never be repeated," the former GOP presidential candidate said in a statement.

63 percent are hurting, think U.S. has entered long-term economic decline

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28273423/

By Michael A. Fletcher and Jon Cohen
Washington Post
updated 2:31 a.m. ET, Wed., Dec. 17, 2008

WASHINGTON - The deepening recession has eroded the financial standing and optimism of a broad swath of Americans, nearly two-thirds of whom say that they have been hurt by the downturn and that the country has slipped into long-term economic decline.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll also found that a rapidly increasing share of Americans -- 66 percent, up from just over half a year ago -- are worried about maintaining their standard of living. Nearly two in 10 said they or someone living in their household had lost a job in the past few months, and more than a quarter said they had their pay or hours reduced. And 15 percent said that at some point in the past year they fell behind on their rent or mortgage.

Cosmic Rays Do Not Explain Global Warming

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081217075138.htm

ScienceDaily (Dec. 17, 2008) — A new study supports earlier findings by stating that changes in cosmic rays most likely do not contribute to climate change. It is sometimes claimed that changes in radiation from space, so-called galactic cosmic rays, can be one of the causes of global warming. A new study, investigating the effect of cosmic rays on clouds, concludes that the likelihood of this is very small.
...
This result is in line with most other research in the field. As far as Kristjansson knows, no studies have proved a correlation between reduced cosmic rays and reduced cloud formation.

Kristjansson also points out that most research shows no reduction in cosmic rays during the last decades, and that an astronomic explanation of today’s global warming therefore seems very unlikely.

Did Early Global Warming Divert A New Glacial Age?

So humans might actually be good for something, if only by accident.

Of course, that doesn't mean that continuing as we have is fine. If you have hypothermia, you need to be warmed up; that doesn't mean it is fine to be boiled.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081217190433.htm

ScienceDaily (Dec. 17, 2008) — The common wisdom is that the invention of the steam engine and the advent of the coal-fueled industrial age marked the beginning of human influence on global climate.

But gathering physical evidence, backed by powerful simulations on the world's most advanced computer climate models, is reshaping that view and lending strong support to the radical idea that human-induced climate change began not 200 years ago, but thousands of years ago with the onset of large-scale agriculture in Asia and extensive deforestation in Europe.

What's more, according to the same computer simulations, the cumulative effect of thousands of years of human influence on climate is preventing the world from entering a new glacial age, altering a clockwork rhythm of periodic cooling of the planet that extends back more than a million years.
...
Addressing scientists on Dec 17 at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Vavrus and colleagues John Kutzbach and Gwenaëlle Philippon provided detailed evidence in support of a controversial idea first put forward by climatologist William F. Ruddiman of the University of Virginia. That idea, debated for the past several years by climate scientists, holds that the introduction of large-scale rice agriculture in Asia, coupled with extensive deforestation in Europe began to alter world climate by pumping significant amounts of greenhouse gases — methane from terraced rice paddies and carbon dioxide from burning forests — into the atmosphere. In turn, a warmer atmosphere heated the oceans making them much less efficient storehouses of carbon dioxide and reinforcing global warming.

That one-two punch, say Kutzbach and Vavrus, was enough to set human-induced climate change in motion.

"No one disputes the large rate of increase in greenhouse gases with the Industrial Revolution," Kutzbach notes. "The large-scale burning of coal for industry has swamped everything else" in the record.

But looking farther back in time, using climatic archives such as 850,000-year-old ice core records from Antarctica, scientists are teasing out evidence of past greenhouse gases in the form of fossil air trapped in the ice. That ancient air, say Vavrus and Kutzbach, contains the unmistakable signature of increased levels of atmospheric methane and carbon dioxide beginning thousands of years before the industrial age.

"Between 5,000 and 8,000 years ago, both methane and carbon dioxide started an upward trend, unlike during previous interglacial periods," explains Kutzbach. Indeed, Ruddiman has shown that during the latter stages of six previous interglacials, greenhouse gases trended downward, not upward. Thus, the accumulation of greenhouse gases over the past few thousands of years, the Wisconsin-Virginia team argue, is very likely forestalling the onset of a new glacial cycle, such as have occurred at regular 100,000-year intervals during the last million years. Each glacial period has been paced by regular and predictable changes in the orbit of the Earth known as Milankovitch cycles, a mechanism thought to kick start glacial cycles.

"We're at a very favorable state right now for increased glaciation," says Kutzbach. "Nature is favoring it at this time in orbital cycles, and if humans weren't in the picture it would probably be happening today."

Importantly, the new research underscores the key role of greenhouse gases in influencing Earth's climate. Whereas decreasing greenhouse gases in the past helped initiate glaciations, the early agricultural and recent industrial increases in greenhouse gases may be forestalling them, say Kutzbach and Vavrus.

Using three different climate models and removing the amount of greenhouse gases humans have injected into the atmosphere during the past 5,000 to 8,000 years, Vavrus and Kutzbach observed more permanent snow and ice cover in regions of Canada, Siberia, Greenland and the Rocky Mountains, all known to be seed regions for glaciers from previous ice ages. Vavrus notes: "With every feedback we've included, it seems to support the hypothesis (of a forestalled ice age) even more. We keep getting the same answer."

United States Death Map Revealed

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/12/081216201408.htm

ScienceDaily (Dec. 17, 2008) — A map of natural hazard mortality in the United States has been produced. The map gives a county-level representation of the likelihood of dying as the result of natural events such as floods, earthquakes or extreme weather.

Susan Cutter and Kevin Borden, from the University of South Carolina, Columbia, used nationwide data going back to 1970 to create their map.
...
Heat/drought ranked highest among the hazard categories, causing 19.6% of total deaths, closely followed by severe summer weather (18.8%) and winter weather (18.1%). Geophysical events (such as earthquakes), wildfires, and hurricanes were responsible for less than 5% of total hazard deaths combined.

NASA reports 2008 is ninth warmest year since 1880

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/260/story/57966.html

By Renee Schoof | McClatchy Newspapers

WASHINGTON — The year 2008 was the ninth warmest year since instrumental temperature measurements began in 1880, and all of the nine warmest years have occurred in the past 11 years, NASA reported on Tuesday.

The new data from NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and other government agencies on Tuesday adds to the evidence scientists have been observing about a warming Earth as fossil fuel burning emits heat-trapping gases into the atmosphere.

NASA also reported that the January to November global temperature was 0.76 degrees Fahrenheit above the average for the 20th Century.

NASA also noted that the past year was cooler than any since 2000. Scientists note that global warming is a steady trend, but within it there are natural variations.

The NASA report noted that "Eurasia, the Arctic and the Antarctic Peninsula were exceptionally warm, while much of the Pacific Ocean was cooler than the long-term average." It said the relatively cooler temperature in the tropical Pacific was due to a La Nina, the cool phase of a natural temperature variation.

Britain's Met Office on Tuesday also said that La Nina was part of the reason 2008 was slightly cooler than earlier years this decade. By Britain's accounting, 2008 was the 10th warmest year on record dating back to 1850, and all 10 of the warmest years occurred since 1997.

"Human influence, particularly emission of greenhouse gases, has greatly increased the chance of having such warm years," said Peter Stott of the Met Office in a statement Tuesday.

The Met Office also reported that global temperatures from 2000 to 2008 are nearly 0.36 degrees Fahrenheit higher than the average for 1990 to 1999.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Tuesday summarized these and other trends, including:

* The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season was the third costliest, after 2005 and 2004.

* The U.S. had nearly 1,700 tornadoes from January through November, which ranks second behind 2004 for the most tornadoes in a year since records began in 1953.

* Arctic sea ice in 2008 reached its second lowest level at the end of the melting season in September, following a record low in 2007. In 2008, the ice shrank to 1.74 million square miles, which was 0.86 million square miles below the average annual minimum from 1979 to 2000.

Sea ice loss is important because ice reflects most of the sun's radiation, but open ocean water absorbs most of it, adding to the warming trend both in the ocean and on land.